Value Wins (Final Update)

| October 2, 2018 | Reply

ALL UPDATES IN BOLD

Product Name:

Value Wins

Company Name & Contact Details:

Betfan Limited,
Suite 1, Scotts Place
24 Scotts Road
Bromley
Kent
BR1 3QD

E-mail contact is via a support ticket system at https://members.betfanplus.com/support/open.php

Price:

There are three membership options available:

Weekly (7 days) at £16.80 (£14 plus VAT)

Monthly (NB this is actually 28 days and not calendar months) at £57.60 (£48 plus VAT)

Quarterly (NB this is 90 days as opposed to calendar quarters) at £108 (£90 plus VAT)

Money Back Guarantee:

No. Betfan’s terms and conditions state that subscriptions are generally non-refundable but that every request for a refund will be reviewed, and if they feel a refund is warranted it will be granted.

What Do You Get?

Daily win tips on UK and Irish horse racing, with very occasional each way selections.

Where to Buy:

https://members.betfanplus.com/services/valuewins/

Brief Summary:

Daily horse racing tips delivered the evening before racing. The vast majority of tips are to win, but with occasional each way selections. Selections cover all codes of racing The number of tips each day varies from one to ten, but we have seen an average of two per day during the first month of the review.

How Much Money Do I Need to Get Started?

A 300-point starting bank is recommended.

How Much Money Can I Make?

No specific claims made but refers to looking to deliver “consistent” profits. This is a phrase I rarely see from tipsters’ promotional material but one that should be part of everyone’s strategy.

How Much Time Will I Need to Make This Work?

Depending on the number of tips, between two and five minutes in the evening when the tips are delivered. This is usually between 18:00 and 19:00, although we have received e-mails as late as 21:45.

Will I Need Any Equipment to Do This?

A laptop, PC, tablet or smart phone with internet access and access to online bookmaker accounts.

Value for Money?

I’m going to defer commenting on this until the end of the review period, but the early signs are promising. With a Return on Investment of 57.52% and a Return on Capital of 112.03% in three months from £10 per point stakes, this service rightly receives our VFM seal of approval. At £10 per point stakes you would have seen a net profit, after the cost of the service, in excess of £2,000 for the quarter.

Quality of Customer Service?

Not tested. Contact is via the members’ area of the website.

Review

Value Wins provided proofing to the Betfan platform between 29th April and 9th August 2017 before being admitted as a paid for service. Including the trialling period, the results (which are available on the proofing page of the website) show a total profit of 1,134.68 points, at an average of around 75 points per month. However, it should be noted that historically the majority of selections were recommended at five-point stakes and more recently they are predominantly three-point stakes.

The number of selections each day varies between a “no bet” day and ten picks. Between three and seven is the norm mentioned on the website, but in the first month of the review we have seen an average of just two selections per day.

E-mail advice of the tips is received the evening before racing to ensure the best value is secured on selections. This is usually between 18:00 and 19:00, although we have had a few which are between 21:00 and 22:00. The e-mail is in the standard Betfan format, so is easy to follow and clear in what bets are to be placed. There is no analysis of the criteria for selections.

There is a full breakdown of results since launch which can be downloaded or viewed on a month-by-month basis.

The advised prices have been available on the randomly selected tips that have been checked at the time of receipt.

This is a straightforward service which will succeed or fail on its results. John, the author of Value Wins, says “Over the years I’ve constantly searched for new angles, and “Value Wins” is without doubt the very best I’ve come up with to date.” Let’s see if the results back up this bold claim.

Results – Month 1 (2nd July to 1st August 2018)

A storming start to the review period with 120-points of profit banked. This result is from three-point flat stakes, so just bear that in mind when comparing performances across different tipsters. Notwithstanding, this is a performance to whet the appetite for what is to come over the next two months and clearly demonstrates that the historic results claimed are well within the reach of this service.

There were 12 winning selections in the month from just 61 tips, a very healthy 19.67% strike rate, especially when you consider the average odds of the selections in the month was 8.43 (just a shade under 15/2). The average odds of the winning selections were almost identical at 8.41, with the standout winner being Wee Jim at Musselburgh at 20/1. The highlight though was undoubtedly July 6th, which saw three winners from three tips and a day’s profit of 49.5 points!

It’s not surprising at the prices that there were some longish losing runs too, including a longest one of 18 and an unbroken run of 10 at the end of the month.

Return on Investment (ROI) was an impressive 65.57% in the period and the ROC (Return on Capital) an equally notable 40%.

Results – Month 2 (2nd August to 1st September 2018)

Although this month never looked like hitting the heights of Month 1, it did still deliver further profit. At one stage in the month even that looked unlikely as we sat on a loss of almost 56 points (remember this service uses three-point flat stakes). However, three consecutive winners recovered the loss and although we slipped back into a small loss after this, two winners – Vivant and Ventura Gold – from two bets on 29th August ensured we would see further profit despite the final six selections of the month losing.

The month had started with seven consecutive losers, which added to the 10 that we ended last month with, gave us a 17 bet winless streak. Not the worst we had seen, but that followed later in the month when we went 19 selections without a return. These long runs are not unexpected given the average odds of the selections. This month we saw average advised odds of 11.63, not far off 11/1, although the average odds of the winning selections was 7.0 (6/1).

It was this drop in the average winning odds from Month 1 that had the most marked impact on the results, as we still saw 11 winners (compared to 12 in Month 1) and a strike rate of 15.28% (down from 19.67% last month).

After two months of the review we now have a cumulative profit of 130.1 points (to three-point flat stakes remember). The overall strike rate has been 17.29% from average odds of 10.16 (just over 9/1), whilst the average odds of the winning selections has been 7.74 (not far off 7/1). The ROI (Return on Investment) is a very healthy 33.1%, whilst the ROC (Return on Capital) is 43.37% and you won’t get that from a High Street bank! This cumulative profit is still very much in line with the historic average monthly return.

Results – Month 3 (2nd September to 1st October 2018)

Whilst last month’s profit may have fallen short of Month 1’s excellent start, this month put that start firmly in the shade. With 206 points profit from just 53 selections at an ROI of 143.06%, this month surpassed even the most optimistic expectations.

What makes it even more impressive is that Month 1 used three-point stakes across the board, whilst this month has used one to three point stakes at an average of 2.72 points per bet. 

The average odds of all selections in the month was 11.25 (just over 10/1), similar to last month but around 2.5 points above the Month 1 average. The average odds of the winning selections was 8.53 (around 15/2), which is almost a full point up on last month (but back to the level of Month 1) and was helped by Rose Tinted Spirit’s success at 33/1. However, Rose Tinted Spirit was advised as a one-point stake and the second big-priced winner of the month, Testa Rossa at 16/1, was advised as a two-point gamble.

In total we saw 17 winners from the 53 selections, a strike rate of 32.08%, which is almost double the previous two months. 

Although we still saw losing streaks of nine and twelve selections in the period, we also had two real purple patches. The 12th to 14th September saw four winners from five bets for a net profit of 64.5 points, whilst 21st and 22nd September selections delivered five out of eight winners for a combined net return of 87.5 points.

The overall profit from the three months of our review totalled a staggering 336.1 points. The ROI for the whole review period was 62.59%, and with the ROC in excess of 110% it meant you would have more than doubled your starting bank within the three months.

Summary at End of Month 1

Certainly a set of results that beg further interest and endorse the historic claims. Looking forward to seeing if Months 2 and 3 can maintain this level of performance.

Summary at End of Month 2

A second profitable month gives us a cumulative gain averaging 65 points per month, well in touch with the historic claims. 

Summary at End of Month 3

As well as being an exceptional set of results in their own right, the outcomes from the review certainly support the historic profit claims of 75 points per month average for Value Wins. This straightforward service offers great value and excellent profit potential, and I have no hesitation in awarding it our maximum five-star rating.

A full list of the results from the review can be found here.

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Category: Betting, Betting Systems

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