Trends Expert (Final Update)

| March 17, 2019 | Reply

ALL UPDATES IN BOLD

Product Name:

Trends Expert

Company Name & Contact Details:

BetInfo24
JLC Marketing Ltd
71-75 Shelton Street
Covent Garden
London
WC2H 9JQ

www.betinfo24.co.uk
contact@betinfo24.co.uk

Price:

Monthly membership costs £29.99 plus VAT (a total of £35.99). There is a quarterly option of £69.99 plus VAT (£83.99), which offers a saving of 22%, or an annual membership option at £199.99 plus VAT (£239.99), which is a saving of 44% over 12 individual monthly payments.

There is a note on the website that states that the annual fee will be “increasing soon”, but to date is given for when this might take effect.

Money Back Guarantee:

Yes. A full, no questions asked, 30-day money back guarantee is provided.

What Do You Get?

Multiple selections in the big races, usually Class 2 handicaps and above. Most bets are on Saturdays with between one and three races covered, although the major festivals will give rise to midweek opportunities as well.

Where to Buy:

Trends Expert

How Much Money Do I Need to Get Started?

A starting bank of 50-points is recommended by the service. However, this refers to the win only options and if you were to look at utilising the selections in other ways as well (see review for details) then the bank would need to be increased accordingly.

How Much Money Can I Make?

The website claims an average monthly profit of £719 at £20 per point stakes, which equates to an average monthly gain of 35.95 points.

How Much Time Will I Need to Make This Work?

Depending on the number of races and the number of selections in each this can take a bit of time to get placed. There are usually between four and seven selections in the featured races, although we saw nine selections for the Paddy Power Chase at Leopardstown on 27th December and just one for the four runner Unibet Handicap Chase at Sandown on 5th January.

The email doesn’t give the bookmakers offering the advised prices so you will need to check each selection for the best available prices.

Will I Need Any Equipment to Do This?

A laptop, PC, tablet or smartphone with Internet connectivity and access to a range of online bookmakers’ accounts.

Value for Money?

I’ll defer a comment here until the end of the review. With a significant loss recorded over the three months of the review, and not immaterial losses in each individual month, there can only be one outcome on this question from the review period. No.

Quality of Customer Service

Full email support is provided seven-days a week according to the website, and they aim to reply within 24 hours. Although I haven’t had to use this during the review so far, I did get timely replies to my emails when setting up the review.

Contact can also be made via the members’ area of the website.

Review

Trends Expert has been part of the BetInfo24 platform since January 2018, although the service has been running since September 2016. The service focuses on the major races, usually Class 2 handicaps and above, and uses multiple selections in each race based on extensive analysis of the 10-year trends for that race.

Although the service’s results are declared to just the win bets, there is plenty of scope to use the selections in a number of ways. Potentially the most lucrative way would be to use combination forecasts and tricasts and the website cites examples of big payouts from this approach. Another alternative would be to use combination doubles and trebles on days when more than one race is covered. However, all of the results for this review are based purely on placing the single selections to win.

For each selected race the email contains details of the selection, the advised price, the number of points to stake on that selection and the points profit from the race if that selection wins. The potential profit range for that race is also given. The number of points allocated to each selection is based on the relative strength and price of that horse. On average there are between 10 and 15 points staked in total on each featured race.

New members receive a PDF user’s guide which explains how the service operates and outlines all of the potential options for using the selections, as well as details on how to place the different types of bets.

The tips email is sent the evening before racing on days when there are selections. Emails are not sent when there are no qualifying races, but a note of the races being covered in the near future is often included in the results email which is sent out.

The website claims a strike rate of around 50% on race wins and short losing runs.

Results – Month 1 (17th December 2018 to 16th January 2019)

There were seven featured races in the period and Trends Expert hit the winner in three of them for a 43% race win strike rate. However, this wasn’t enough to turn a profit in the first month of the review, and we ended with a loss of 22.12 points for the period.

Although Trends Expert had the winner of both the Smarkets Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase (Daklondike) and the Coral Welsh Grand National (Elegant Escape), both of these selections delivered the smallest of the potential profits for those races. The third winner, Duca De Thaix (BetVictor Dan Moore Memorial Handicap Chase), came in a race where the profit range was just 0.5 points between all possible outcomes.

The Welsh Grand National also produced the forecast which paid around £32 to £1. The Dan Moore Memorial Handicap Chase at Fairyhouse went one better, delivering not only the forecast at around 25/1, but also the tricast which paid out at around 76/1.

Results – Month 2 (17th January to 16th February 2019)

Of the 11 featured races in the period Trends Expert had the winner covered on six occasions, giving a race win strike rate of 54.55%. Despite the slightly better win rate, the overall result for the month was a further loss of 15.56 points. After two months the cumulative loss now stands at 37.68 points.

Highlight of the month was undoubtedly Saturday 26th January with Kildistart winning the Timeform Novices Handicap Chase and then Siruh Du Lac following up in the Spectra Cyber Security Solutions Trophy Handicap Chase. Not only were the individual winners selected but had you doubled up on the races you would have landed a 38/1 winning double. The Spectra Cyber Security Solutions Trophy Handicap Chase also produced the forecast at £21.97 (to the pound) and the tricast at £137.50 to the pound.

The month also ended with the winner of both races on the final day – Al Dancer in the Betfair Handicap Hurdle at Ascot and Robinsfirth in the Grand National Trial Handicap Chase at Haydock Park. The Grand National trial also produced the forecast at £68.95 to the pound.

Despite these good days the overall performance on the main race winner tips was still a further loss.

Results – Month 3 (17th February to 16th March 2019)

Whilst the first two months delivered losses, they did at least have winners, and with that the potential for further returns on forecasts and tricasts etc. The final month of the review failed to deliver a single winner across 27 selections in six different races. The overall loss on the month was a shuddering 82.75 points. This means that in three months the recorded element of this service has lost 120.43 points. Furthermore, with no winners in the period, had you used these selections for any of the “extra” bets there would have been further drains on your loss.

Whilst the “extra” bets from using the selections provide some nice potential headline returns, we have no evidence one way or the other that they produce a net profit. Nor whether any profit would offset the losses from the main service.

There is also the question of the recommended starting bank. The service suggests a starting bank of 50-points for the main selections, but that has been wiped out more than twice over by the results during the review. Clearly, anyone following this service over the longer-term would need to allow for potential losing runs significantly above the levels expected by the service.

There is little to add at this point, save to say that we acknowledge these three-month reviews do provide a snapshot in time of a service and that can in some instances catch a particularly good or poor period. However, an increase in the level of the bank required for this service is not in question.

Summary at End of Month 1

Not the best return from the first month of the review, but it’s early days and we’ll see what the next month brings, starting with two races at Haydock on 19th January.

Summary at End of Month 2

Although there have been some nice potential doubles, forecasts and tricasts during the review, these are secondary to the main service which is where the results are recorded, and they are currently showing a deficit of 37.68 points. Furthermore, although the forecasts and tricasts provide nice headline returns, we would need to be recording all of the potential uses of the selections to be able to offer an opinion as to whether or not these alternative bets are profitable in the longer run.

Summary at End of Month 3

A hugely disappointing three months for Trends Expert and a run that is clearly not expected given the size of the recommended starting bank.

 

A complete rundown of the results for the review period can be found here.

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