Top Dogs (Final Update)

| July 10, 2018 | Reply

ALL UPDATES IN BOLD

Product Name:

Top Dogs

Company Name & Contact Details:

Winning Online
Steve Clark
steve@winningonline.co.uk

Price:

£47 per month

Money Back Guarantee:

Yes, a 100% refund guarantee during the first 30 days.

What Do You Get?

Daily greyhound selections (although whether or not there are selections each day is dependent on the opportunities available) delivered by e-mail and text if opted in.

Where to Buy:

Top Dogs

Brief Summary:

Specialist greyhound service focussing on Open races and win only selections. Tips are sent daily when qualifying selections are found. Two separate experts – “The Inside Man” and “The Dog Scientist” – contribute to the selections. Launched in November last year the service has delivered five winning months from six so far, with the only losing month being a tiny 1.31 points loss.

How Much Money Do I Need to Get Started?

A starting bank of 25 points is recommended in the welcome e-mail.

How Much Money Can I Make?

No specific claims made. Since its launch in November 2017 the service has delivered an average of just over eight points profit per month.

How Much Time Will I Need to Make This Work?

Minutes daily when the tips are received.

Will I Need Any Equipment to Do This?

Internet connection with mobile device, laptop or PC, and access to online bookmakers.

Value for Money?

Too early to say, we will wait for the rest of the review period before offering an opinion. I always like to look at net profit (i.e. after deducting the cost of membership) when assessing value for money. Over three months betting at £10 per point you would have pocketed a clear £215 at 8.57% ROI, whilst at £50 per point this would have been £1,640 at 13.68%. Either way this service represents good value for your membership fee based on the last three months.

Quality of Customer Service?

Not tested. However, Steve states, “I’m a big believer in always being around to provide you with all the help, advice or any sort of support you might need”, and he backs this up by providing his mobile number to members alongside the e-mail contact details.

Review

Just six months into its life, Top Dogs is another greyhound tipping service showing significant promise. With five winning months from six between November 2017 and April 2018 and an average monthly profit of just over eight points, the signs are certainly encouraging. Unfortunately, the first month of our review has shown a small loss (see results section below), but nothing that suggests the historic results are not accurate and achievable.

The service is run by Steve Clark from Winning Online and uses the skills of two greyhound tipping experts, referred to as “The Inside Man” and “The Dog Scientist”. They both focus only on Open class races and recommend win only selections.

With the quantity of greyhound racing in the UK there is the possibility of tips every day. However, in reality we have been seeing an average of 20-25 tips per month. Herein lies one of my bugbears with some services. Tips are not sent at any specific time of the day and can fluctuate wildly given that there can be morning, afternoon and evening meetings on the same day, but there is not a “No Bet Today” message sent out on days when there is no selection. Whilst I can acknowledge there is a cost implication for the service in sending out “unnecessary” e-mails and texts, from a customer service point of view it can be very frustrating for members not to know if there is no tip or they haven’t received it for some reason. This week Steve ended up having to send an e-mail in response to messages he had received from members because it was a very quiet week and there were several consecutive days with no selections.

There is the option to register for text alerts alongside the e-mails.

The e-mails themselves contain the name of the expert providing the tip, the track, race time, trap number, dog name, stake and a link to Oddschecker for that race. The Oddschecker link is provided to enable the best odds to be secured for each selection. No advised odds are given, and we have recorded results to the best price available at the time the selections are posted. From June the Oddschecker link has been removed and replaced with “Minimum Target Odds”. These are a guide as to the price you should be trying to better when placing the tip.

Stakes range from one to five points per selection. “The Inside Man” uses just one or two-point bets and “The Dog Scientist” uses one to three point stakes. However, there are occasions when both experts select the same dog and in this instance their recommended stakes are added together, hence the possibility of a five-point maximum bet.

During the final month of the review Top Dogs parted company with “The Inside Man”. This was an amicable separation as “The Inside Man” didn’t feel his results were up to standard and he wasn’t pulling his weight within the service. The figures supported that, with “The Dog Scientist” accounting for 81.2% of the Top Dogs’ profit to date. So from 18th June onwards all selections are from “The Dog Scientist” only.

Results – Month 1 (9th April to 8th May 2018)

After starting the trial with two consecutive winners, which became four winners in the first six selections and then 11 winners from 20, a run of five consecutive losers (including a five-point maximum bet) put the brakes on what was panning out to be an excellent month. From a profit of 6.18 points after 20 selections, the month ended with a loss of 6.87 points as 13 points were lost in the final nine selections of the period.

The 55% strike rate after 20 selections was bang in line with the historic results and pointed towards a profitable month. However, the final strike rate of 44.83% was around 10% down on the norm for this service, and at average odds of just under 2.25 (5/4) that has a significant impact on the profit, especially when combined with the maximum bet loss.

The longest losing streak in the month was the five selections referred to above, against this there was a run of three consecutive winning selections in the middle of the period.

Results – Month 2 (9th May to 8th June 2018)

Month 2 saw nearly twice as many bets (52) as the first month (29) but delivered a broadly similar strike rate on average odds which were almost double the previous month – up from just under 2.25 (5/4) to just under 4.25 (13/4).  The result was a profit for the month of 19.58 points which wiped out the loss from Month 1 and left a cumulative profit of 12.71 points going into the third and final month of the review. If you had staked £10 per point across the first two months you would be showing a small net profit after the cost of the service of around £33. At £50 per point the net gain would be over £540.

The second month started with four consecutive winners and there were two other occasions of three consecutive winners during the month. No losing runs in the month exceeded four selections and so the longest losing run remains the five from Month 1.

The ROI (Return on Investment) for Month 2 was 16.74% and the cumulative return now sits at 7.14%. The ROC (Return on Capital) after two months is 50.84% based on the recommended 25 point opening bank.

Results – Month 3 (9th June to 8th July 2018)

With the departure of “The Inside Man” during the month it was no surprise to see the total number of tips drop to just 23, the lowest month during the trial. However, this month also saw the highest strike rate and the biggest profit, so the decision seems to be vindicated, at least at this stage. Twelve winners from the 23 tips this month (45.19% strike rate) saw a profit of 22.92 points at an ROI (Return on Investment) of 38.85%. Over the course of our three month review we have now seen a total profit of 35.63 points, and this after seeing a loss of almost seven points in Month 1. The ROI across the review period was 15.03% and the ROC (Return on Capital) an impressive 142.52%, although this is based on a starting bank of just 25 points, so the service is confident that there will be no significant losing runs to worry the bank.

Indeed, the longest losing run this month was three, but we also saw a winning run of the same magnitude, when all three selections won on June 21st. Over the course of the review period we saw a longest losing sequence of five selections and a longest winning streak of four selections. The average odds of all selections in the month was 2.46 (a shade under 6/4) and, by chance, the average odds of the winning selections in the month was also 2.46. For the complete review period, the average of all selections was 3.28 (just over 9/4) and the average of the 47 winning selections was 2.36.

Since the transition to just “The Dog Scientist” there have been eight winners from 14 tips (57.14% strike rate) and 17.72 points of profit.

Summary at end of Month 1

Although we recorded a loss for the first month of the review period, there were enough signs to suggest that this can be turned around in the remaining two months to a level consistent with the historic results.

Summary at end of Month 2

The average monthly profit across the two months of the review now stands at 6.35 points, not a million miles away from the historic average of eight points since the service began. Month 3 will complete the picture for us, but as we started with only the second losing month for this service, the turnaround has been swift and conclusive.

Summary at end of Month 3

Hats off to Top Dogs for taking a difficult decision for the benefit of the members, but parting company with “The Inside Man” looks to be a positive step. With an average of 12 points per month profit over the review period the performance has outstripped the historic results for this service. Definitely one for anybody’s shortlist in my opinion, and a well deserved four-star rating from me based on the review period.

You can see the full breakdown of results for the trial here.

 

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