Premier Football Investments (Final Update)

| November 27, 2018 | Reply


Product Name:

Premier Football Investments

Company Name & Contact Details:

Premier Football Investments


The first month is billed at £4.95 for any of the three subscription options.

Membership costs £24.95 monthly, £49.90 quarterly or £173.00 annually.

The quarterly option is a 3-for-2 offer, whilst the annual option offers a saving of over 40% against 12 individual monthly payments.

NB – From 1st October PFI are making their tips available free for a month, sign up to this offer from their home page here.

Money Back Guarantee:

Yes, 30-day unconditional money back guarantee offered.

What Do You Get?

Daily football tips from around the world, but mainly Europe, delivered by e-mail. Virtually all selections utilise the Asian betting odds.

Where to Buy:


How Much Money Do I Need to Get Started?

A starting bank of 40-points is recommended.

How Much Money Can I Make?

This is a low risk, investment style service which is reflected in the starting bank level. However, this does mean that you won’t see the huge points profits that some other types of service can generate, but the expectation is that users will potentially be staking at higher pounds per points than for other services.

How Much Time Will I Need to Make This Work?

This service requires just minutes daily when the tips are received.

Will I Need Any Equipment to Do This?

The standard requirement of a PC, laptop, tablet or smart phone with internet connection and access to online bookmaker accounts applies to this service.

Value for Money?

The first month’s results are encouraging, but I will defer a final verdict until the completion of the three-month review. Unfortunately, over the course of the three-months we have failed to make a profit, despite the good start, and so I am unable to award a VFM pass based on our review period.

Quality of Customer Service?

The administration for PFI is conducted by John Baker of Banker Bets and Draw Profits and I have found all of his services to offer first-class customer care, so would expect nothing less for this package.


Premier Football Investments (PFI) is a joint-offering from Carlo Manzoni, who provides the betting analysis and tips, and John Baker who concentrates on the administration and promotion of the service. This arrangement allows Carlo to focus all of his attention on delivering a successful tipping service for clients.

Established in August 2016, PFI offers daily tips on European league football, with occasional forays into North and South American leagues. All of the tips are single bets and are based on the Asian markets. The majority of selections are from the Asian handicap on the match result, with most of the remainder being on the total match goals Asian markets.

There is a full breakdown of results available on the PFI website and these are updated weekly. Although the results page on the website says “last updated 1st August 2018” the spreadsheet is actually up to date.

All of the tips are to single-point stakes, but because the odds of selections are around evens or lower, the value of a single point for this service needs to be sufficient to generate enough profit to cover the cost of the membership plus profit. Because of that, this service is unlikely to appeal to anyone staking lower than £25 per point. However, although it does mean no headline grabbing points profits it also means less volatility and short losing runs.

The daily e-mails are clear and concise, although if you like an analysis of the selections you will be disappointed. The email usually arrives before 11:00 each day, often much earlier, and contains details of the match, the league, the date (as tips can be given several days in advance if Carlo spots early value), the bet to be placed and the current advised price. One thing to watch out for is that tips will often be advised days in advance (to take advantage of a perceived value price) and then repeated on the day of the match, so be careful to avoid placing the same bet twice.

This is a very simple, straightforward service to follow – join, receive the email, place the bets, collect, repeat. It really is that simple!

Results – Month 1 (27th August to 26th September 2018)

In keeping with the investment style approach, we saw just 25 bets in the first month of the review. Of those, 11 were outright winners (44%), a further five were half-wins, two were pushes and just seven were outright losses. This profile very much fits my expectations from this type of service and is in line with its historic performance. There were no more than two consecutive losing selections during the month.

Overall, we generated 3.47 points profit in the period, at a Return on Investment (ROI) of 13.86%. The average odds of all selections in the period was 1.82, with the range being 1.51 to 2.05. The average was almost identical for the outright winning selections as well.

The Return on Capital (ROC) was a very steady 8.66% in the month.

To illustrate the point about pounds-per-point staking on this type of service. At £10 per point you would have made a net profit of just £9.70 after the cost of the monthly membership, whilst at £50 per point that net profit becomes £148.30.

Results – Month 2 (27th September to 26th October 2018)

Slightly more selections this month at 34, but still in keeping with the investment style approach. There was one more winning tip than last month with 12 successes this time (35.29%). In addition there were seven pushes, one half-win and one half-loss, leaving 13 outright losers this month. The lower strike rate and higher volume of bets meant we ended the month with a loss of 3.24 points, which leaves us a tiny cumulative profit of 0.23 points after two months.

Average odds this month were 1.78, with the lower end of the range once again at 1.51, although the upper end of the spectrum went up to 2.29. The average odds of the winning selections was down on last month at 1.77, which also contributed to the downturn in performance.

After two months we are now in a net deficit after the cost of membership. At £10 per point stakes this would equate to £47.65, whilst at £50 per point it drops to just £38.65.

This up and down profile is one we have witnessed over a longer period with this tipster in the Tipster League and the poorer performing months tend to coincide with the months with more tips. At the average odds witnessed this is not surprising, as the strike rate also drops as the number of selections increases.

Results – Month 3 (27th October to 26th November 2018)

We ended the review with the busiest month in terms of selections, with a total of 46 bets. Although we had a higher strike rate than previous months (45.65%), the average odds of selections fell to just 1.67 (4/6) and, combined with the higher volume of losing bets, meant we ended the month with a deficit of 1.41 points. This was enough to wipe out the small profit brought forward and leave us with an overall loss for the review period of 1.19 points. 

Not only were the average odds of all selections the lowest we had seen, the average odds of the winning selections also fell to a low of  1.65. The range of the advised odds this month was from 1.4 to 2.12. 

Alongside the 21 successful bets this period, we also had two half-wins and seven pushes, although this still left 16 outright losers.

I refer back to my comment last month that “the poorer performing months tend to coincide with the months with more tips”. This month has simply served to reinforce that view. This is not surprising given the low average odds, as every two losing bets requires three winners just to get back close to break-even. The reason Month 1 made a profit and this month made a loss from similar strike rates is down to the volume of bets. As the number of bets from this service increases, so the strike rate required to break even (all other things remaining equal) goes up. 

Summary at End of Month 1

A nice steady start from PFI, delivering a monthly profit that exceeds their historic average.

Summary at End of Month 2

Still everything to play for in the final month and we wait to see which way the review will ultimately tip.

Summary at End of Month 3

Whilst the loss across the three months was minimal at 1.19 points, adding in the cost of the service means that £50 per point stakes would have seen you down £134.10 for the quarter. 


A full detailed breakdown of the results of the trial can be found here.


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Category: Betting, Betting System Reviews, Betting Systems, Football

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