The Football Guru (Month 2 Update)

| January 29, 2018 | Reply


Product Name:
The Football Guru

Company Name & Contact Details:
Betting Gods Malta Ltd
Level 5, The Quay
Portomaso Marina
STJ 4015

£1 for first 30 days, then £39.95 per month or £99.95 per quarter or £479.95 for lifetime membership.

Money Back Guarantee:
Yes. 100% guaranteed refund within the first 30 days
NB: there is no automatic 60-day return guarantee from Clickbank. I know there is a common misconception about this, but for clarity:
“ClickBank allows each vendor to determine the appropriate return, replacement or cancellation policy for its products (each a “Vendor Return Policy”). See the Client Contract (Section 3(a)), for more information. Each vendor will make its Vendor Return Policy readily available to customers prior to purchase of a product. If the applicable Vendor allows for returns, replacements or cancellations, ClickBank will allow for the return or replacement of any product purchased using the ClickBank services in accordance with the applicable Vendor Return Policy.”

What Do You Get?
Football tips from the major European Leagues and occasionally from the Americas. Daily tips sent by e-mail are also available via the members’ area of the web site and via the mobile app.

Where to Buy:

Brief Summary:
Predominantly match winner and match winner + BTTS (both teams to score) selections, with occasional handicap and correct score picks. All of the major European leagues are covered, with occasional tips from elsewhere in the world. Around 120-130 selections per month and often combined into multiples as well.

How Much Money Do I Need to Get Started?
Recommended starting bank is 150 points.

How Much Money Can I Make?
Claims of an average of £117.47 per month to £10 stakes. The two months of the trial have averaged £69.25 profit to a £10 stake, so still behind the claims made.

How Much Time Will I Need to Make This Work?
Up to 10-15 minutes when selections are received if you want to take best odds on each individual selection.

Will I Need Any Equipment to Do This?
Internet connection.

Value for Money?
Too early to reach a conclusion. Although the profit claims appear to be within realistic reach, the ROI in the two months of the trial has been just 2.69%. If you were staking at £10 per point, then the net ROI after the cost of the service has been taken into account drops to just 1.12%. With the volatility in the results it is hard to say that there aren’t better opportunities to secure more value for money from a football tipster.

Quality of Customer Service?
Has the backing of the established Betting Gods platform and all of my e-mails have been answered quickly and efficiently. There is a “live chat” option for contacting them as well.

This service is very professional in its delivery as you would expect of a tipster from the Betting Gods platform. The system was launched in December 2015 so has a couple of years history behind it.

Tips are sent most days by e-mail, usually around 11:30-12:00 for weekend games and between 15:00 and 16:00 for midweek selections. These times are not set in stone and do occasionally vary. There is, however, the option to check on the members’ area of the website, and there is also a mobile app through which you can access the tips. Recently an alert has been added which flashes up on both desk tops and mobile devices when tips are posted on the web site, which is a great addition.

There was an issue on the first weekend of the trial when the kick off time of one selection was wrong and the tips only arrived shortly before the correct kick off time. An alternative selection was subsequently sent. As was inevitable, the original selection lost and the revised tip won. This has been recorded as a loser in the results though, as anyone who responded immediately to the e-mail would have been on the original selection.

There is no rationale given for the selections other than when there is only one or two matches tipped. On weekends, and midweeks when there is European football or a full set of league fixtures, the individual selections are combined into a Canadian (or Super Yankee) or a Goliath.

The odds advised with the selections are almost invariably available when the selections are received and there have been several occasions when better odds have been found. Staking is usually recommended at 2 points per single, 0.1 points for a Canadian (2.6 points total) and 0.01 points for a Goliath (2.47 points in total).

Results – Month 1 (November 25th to December 24th, 2017)
Rumour has it that the new ride at Alton Towers is going to be called The Football Guru! The first month of this trial has been an absolute roller coaster of a ride (see graph below). From a low of 52.92 points loss to a high point of 19.69 points profit, the month ended back where we started, recording a profit of just 0.955 of a point!

The huge spike came courtesy of a 4 out of 5 day (singles plus a Canadian) which resulted in a profit of over 63 points. The selections that day included Leicester to win at Southampton and both teams to score (BTTS) at 8.0 and Rangers to win at Hibernian and BTTS at 4.75. On the flip side, the worst day was a Saturday when all 8 selections lost resulting in a loss of 18.47 points (singles plus a Goliath).

The average odds of the individual selections was 3.28, so there is no hiding behind short-priced favourites. Of the 124 individual selections in the period, 44 were winners, a strike rate of 35.48%.

Although the first month ended at virtually breakeven, there was enough evidence to suggest that the claimed average profit is achievable. The strike rate of 35.48% is also in line with the 40.76% overall rate claimed on the web site. Months 2 and 3 will tell us more.

Results – Month 2 (December 25th 2017 to January 28th 2018)
The roller coaster ride didn’t abate at all in Month 2. From a low for the month of 15.38 points loss to a high point of 26.33 points profit, the good news was that Month 2 ended in a profit of 12.89 points.

The average odds of the individual selections was slightly higher than the previous month at 3.43. Of the 97 individual selections in the period, 37 were winners, a strike rate of 38.14%, so a 7.5% improvement over Month 1.

Overall, the profit for two months is 13.85 points, at an average of 6.925 per month. Furthermore, the strike rate of 36.65% is behind the 40.76% overall rate claimed on the web site. Month 2’s strike rate was closer at 38.14%.

Summary at end of Month 1
There was a total of 288.49 points staked during the first month and some significant bites into the bank, although never close to the recommended level of 150 points. There were 11 winning days and 16 losing days in the month when tips were sent, with a best run of 3 consecutive profits and a worst run of 5 consecutive losing days.

The style of this tipster will not appeal to anyone who struggles with substantial losses during a period as the types of tips, and the average odds, will inevitably lead to significant losing periods. However, for anyone who can ride out these periods for the types of winning day seen this month then there is enough evidence to suggest that long-term profitability should be achievable from this tipster.

The next two months will tell us more.

Summary at end of Month 2
The style of this tipster will not appeal to anyone who struggles with substantial losses during a period as the types of tips, and the average odds, will inevitably lead to significant losing periods. However, for anyone who can ride out these periods for the types of winning day that can occur then there is enough evidence to suggest that long-term profitability should be achievable from this tipster.
HOWEVER…….the profitability comes at an ROI of just 2.69% for the two months to date. A low ROI indicating significant investment is required to generate the profit (total stakes in our trial to date total 514.64 points, although the recommended starting bank has never been seriously threatened). Betting Gods themselves have removed all tipsters with an ROI below 10% from their web page, although the systems are still running.

The full results to date can be found here.


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Category: Betting Systems, Uncategorized

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