Cash In On The Snooker AGAIN This January

| January 6, 2011 | 9 Replies

In September we backed Neil Robertson to win the World Open at 16/1…

The bet was never put in too much doubt as the world champion cruised through the opening rounds, eventually going on to thrash Ronnie O’Sullivan 5-1 in the final.

In December we backed John Higgins to win the UK Championship at 10/1…

John was playing in his first major tournament following a six month suspension but he had already shown some form in recent PTC events and he carried that forward to take the UK crown, winning a thrilling final over Mark Williams 10-9.

And now in January I have another snooker bet lined up that may just complete a hat-trick of big priced winners.

The Masters gets under way this Sunday and there are two players that have caught my eye…

Mark Selby, who has won the event in two of the last three seasons…

And Ali Carter, who is available at a decent price and who looks to have a good draw.

So, back Mark Selby to win the Masters at 15/2 with Tote Sport and Bwin

And back Ali Carter to win the Masters at 18/1 with Sporting Bet.

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A Wembley Master

Generally speaking, snooker betting is all about backing the man in form but now and again a trend comes along that is just too strong to ignore.

You see, it’s not that Mark Selby isn’t in decent form (he’s just beaten Dott, Carter and Higgins in the Championship League)…

But what really catches the eye is Selby’s record at the Masters…

It reads three appearances, three finals, two tournament victories.

In all he has lost just one match at Wembley!

And that was 10-8 to an in-form Ronnie O’Sullivan (all too rare a sight these days).

Wembley must suit certain players because the tournament was also dominated by one man in the early 00’s – Paul Hunter.

Selby can match the sorely missed Hunter’s record of three wins in four years if he emerges victorious this time and he is certainly in with a decent shout.

You can currently back the ‘Jester from Leicester’ at 15/2 with Tote Sport and Bwin and that looks a decent price given his record.

The luck of the draw

The key to ante-post snooker betting often involves two things…

1) Ignoring Ronnie O’Sullivan (7/2, no thanks!)
2) Assessing the draw.

By backing a player at long odds in one of the easier parts of the draw you can often take a profit without needing said player to actually win the event.

In the case of Ali Carter, we have a player that is more than capable of winning the event and one that will be aiming for a semi-final spot as a bare minimum.

The ‘Captain’ should fly past ageing Peter Ebdon in round one, which will set up a quarter-final tussle with either Marco Fu or Stephen Maguire – both of whom are below Carter in the rankings.

Should all go to plan we will then be able to lay Carter for a profit or keep hold of the 18/1 (depending on how well he’s playing).

So, get your bets on and I’ll be back in touch next week.

Back Mark Selby to win the Masters at 15/2 with Tote Sport and Bwin

And back Ali Carter to win the Masters at 18/1 with Sporting Bet.

By the way, it may also be worth checking both prices on Betfair – if you can get the liquidity the odds may be slightly higher (particularly in the case of Carter).

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Comments (9)

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  1. JOHN says:

    Hello Matt,

    i agree with Shelby, but why not higgins?

    Probably they will meet in semifinals and i think one of them will be in the final.
    Higgins will meet williams and i think he will beat him again.

    Carter have to pass thru Sulivan or robertson. I don’t think so.

    So I am going for Shelby and Higgins.

    Tell me what you think.
    Keep up the good work

  2. Matt Houghton Matt Houghton says:

    Hi John,

    I’ve avoided Higgins because traditionally he doesn’t play well at Wembley and has been knocked out 3 times in the last 4 years. Have a read of this article:

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/other_sports/snooker/9345079.stm

    He could well turn that form on its head – he certainly has the talent – but at 6/1 in my opinion there are better options available.

    As for Carter, the plan is to lay him off once he gets to the semis and his odds have dropped. As you rightly point out, he could face Robertson at that stage and should that be the case I will advise a trade.

    I doubt he’ll be playing O’Sullivan though. Ronnie will do well to get past Mark Allen.

    Cheers for getting in touch. It’s good to hear people’s thoughts on these bets.

    Matt

  3. JOHN says:

    I have read the article. But i think he is in top form and accepting his dificulty in Wembley it will help him chycologicly.

    we’ll see.

    John

  4. Matt Houghton Matt Houghton says:

    He’ll certainly be there or thereabouts.

    It should be a good tournament anyway, I’m looking forward to it.

  5. Wayne says:

    Hi Matt

    1st time ive seen your snooker bets let you down and I was especially shocked with the Jester but not so much about Carter.

    I also had Selby but I also have Maguire and at 14/1 I thought it was good value. If he wins his 1st round he’ll play Ebdon then in the semis hopefully o’sullivan and Robertson will already be out by then (fingers crossed anyway).

    Regards

    Wayne

  6. Matt Houghton Matt Houghton says:

    Hi Wayne,

    I just don’t know what’s going on at the moment! I guess you come to expect it with the BDO darts but in the first round of the Masters, so far every single match has been won by the betting underdog.

    Maguire is a good pick – I actually had a small saver bet on him pre-tournament (although I didn’t advise it at the time).

    If O’Sullivan and Robertson get through round one (and with Ronnie it’s a big if) they play each other in round two, so one of them will definitely join Higgins, Selby etc on the scrap heap before too long.

  7. Matt Houghton Matt Houghton says:

    Bang goes the Rocket!

    Our tips may have gone wrong this time but I hope you all heeded my advice to avoid Ronnie O’Sullivan.

    He was 11/4 to win the entire tournament earlier without picking up a cue. Ridiculous price and anybody piling into it will have had their fingers well and truly burnt.

  8. Wayne says:

    Hi Matt

    Only Robertson survives out of the Seeds, what a stupid tournament so far at least for us betting.

    Do you think that makes him favourite or will there be a shock like Peter Ebdon winning who has the mentality and and is a past world champ?

    Regards

    Wayne

  9. Matt Houghton Matt Houghton says:

    I’d definitely have him down as favourite but I wouldn’t be backing him at the 9/4 that is currently on offer.

    Looking at the current prices I quite fancy Mark Allen (9/2 Extrabet) and Graeme Dott (6/1 Sky Bet). They both have very tricky quarter-final matches (Robertson/Ding) but they also have the ability and desire to win it.

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