The Syndicate

Breeders Cup 2018

| November 1, 2018 | Reply

Here I am lucky enough to be based in Louisville, Kentucky, for the week and I’m like a kid in a sweet shop, seriously excited at being able to witness the two days of the 2018 Breeders Cup meeting from Churchill Down.

I have been out pretty early in the morning to watch track work and to see what information I can glean to try and pay for my expenses via a winner or two, and hopefully I can use that to point you all in the right direction as well (I am nice like that).

On my first day here in Louisville I caught the early bus to track work at 6.00am to find that it was pitch black (plus floodlights) and that the horses I had come to see would be in action from about 8.30am onwards, so not the best of starts!

In the end it was all worthwhile as I listened in on a TV interview with Saeed Bin Suroor about Thunder Snow’s chances in the Classic, and he seems pretty bullish. Apparently he is at his peak now after needing his first run at York and running a blinder when second at Belmont Park and, although drawn badly he will be pushed along early to get a pitch. They are expecting a big race from their Dubai World Cup winner who will head to Dubai after this race to prepare to defend his crown. If only life was as simple as that!

I then had a good conversation with the effervescent Chad Summers who trains Mind Your Biscuits and is convinced the race is “his to lose” (his words not mine)…

It appears that they have always thought this trip would see the best of him and this has been a plan since the spring. He is such good company, I cannot help but wish him all the best and possibly follow that up with a personal financial interest.

Of course, you have to add Roaring Lion in to the mix, and I feel he wins this easily IF he handles the dirt, but if you speak to ten “experts” here, five will tell you he will handle it, and five that he won’t, so draw your own conclusions. Fact is he is the best horse in the race and loves a fight if it comes to that and, at a double figure price, I think it’s well worth the risk to small stakes.

Sitting in the enormous Grandstand looking out over the track later in the day, I can easily imagine the atmosphere this place will have on Friday and, more importantly, Saturday afternoons. It is bigger than anywhere I can think of (or perhaps just more compact compared to say Cheltenham), and I wouldn’t mind owning the concessions to the Mint Juleps with a few to be sold to me for starters

Back to the racing over the three days and three horses in total that I will have a decent sized bet on, including Mind Your Biscuits who I mentioned earlier…

On Friday afternoon I will have one main bet only and that will be on Game Winner in the 10.05 (I believe UK time), who is the next big thing in American racing and talked of as a potential superstar by Bob Baffert.

Unbeaten after three starts he does look the part and by the end of the race I suspect that those of us who snapped up the 7/4 will be feeling pretty pleased with ourselves, unless Bob has employed the same publicity machine sued every season by the Aidan O’Brien team?!

On Saturday I will admit that Enable is the star of the show, and she has looked the same as ever on the track in the mornings – nothing too exciting but nothing to worry about either.

She is the class act in the turf without a doubt but at odds on richer people than me will be backing her, and with the record of Arc winners at the Breeders Cup her chances may not be as 99% as they seem at first glance. But although she fails to pass the value threshold in the eyes of some, Frankie Dettori seems exceptionally confident (doesn’t he always).

The one that I know for a fact has been very well backed at decent prices in both singles and doubles (in some cases with Mind Your Biscuits) is Bucchero in the Turf Sprint at (I think) 4.38pm UK time. A winner last time out, I don’t personally see his overall form as good enough, but others have put their money where their mouth is making me sorely tempted to follow them just in case they have it right, but only to pennies in a race so difficult to call.

After gathering a mountain of info on day one the rest of the week proved less informative and the time has come to make my decisions. I will have a small bet in every race (as you do when travelling this far), but my main bets will be as follows, and I wish you all the very best if deciding to follow my suggestions.

Sean’s Best Bets (Fingers Crossed):

Game Winner 10.05 Friday (NAP)
Enable 8.56pm Saturday
Mind Your Biscuits Each Way 9.44 Saturday

Good luck!

Sean Trivass

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