Betting on Over 2.5 Goals:The Ultimate Guide

| February 28, 2018 | Reply

Product Name:

Betting on Over 2.5 Goals: The Ultimate Guide

Company Name & Contact Details:

Mikkel Larsen (author)
www.lowkeysoccerbetting.com
contact@lowkeysoccerbetting.com

Price:

£9.99

Money Back Guarantee:

No.

What Do You Get?

E-Book for Kindle from Amazon or PDF version direct from www.lowkeysoccerbetting.

Where to Buy:

www.amazon.co.uk/Betting-Over-2-5-Goals-ultimate-ebook or https://lowkeysoccerbetting.com/book-betting-on-over-25-goals-the-ultimate-guide

Brief Summary:

This book undertakes a systematic analysis of the over 2.5 goals market from a variety of angles. Although ultimately, there is no one single system identified, it takes no less than 18 different systems through the testing phase. The final section gives a process for applying the four best performing systems as a strategy.

How Much Money Do I Need to Get Started?

£9.99 to purchase the guide. When applying the systems in the book you should set aside a betting bank as with any system or tipster followed. There is no set amount.

How Much Money Can I Make?

In the section titled “Expectations When Betting” the following quote is made – “We need to look for small long-term profits, and in general, a 5-10% increase of our bank in a month or three months is what we should expect or be happy to achieve when talking football betting….Overall small long-term gains to your bank will soon add up. If you can stick to it for a longer period, you will be very pleased to see what can be achieved”.

How Much Time Will I Need to Make This Work?

I initially read the book in less than a couple of hours, but then went back to read it in more detail having got a good idea of what it was all about. Applying the systems will depend on how many systems you want to try, how many leagues you want to cover, your own personal speed when referring to multiple web sites and your comfort with recording and analysing data.

Will I Need Any Equipment to Do This?

Internet access and a mobile device or PC. Because of the amount of data that needs to be reviewed, and the different web sites that need to be accessed, for most of the systems this may prove more difficult on a phone and I would personally recommend a tablet or larger.

Value for Money?

I thoroughly enjoyed the read. Whilst the concepts are not ground breaking, the analysis of the different angles and the results they produced was interesting. If you want a definitive system for betting on the Over 2.5 Goals market, then this won’t be for you. However, if you are happy to try different approaches, and mix and match the different approaches to find the winning formula, then this is a good buy.

It is impossible to monitor the financial return from the systems themselves as the number of possible applications in terms of leagues, number of systems, combination of systems etc is huge and at the end of the day, a personal choice.

Quality of Customer Service?

All e-mail communication has been answered promptly, and the PDF download and access code worked without any issues.

Review

The whole book runs to 125 pages and is packed with analysis, theories and test results. It was obviously difficult for Mikkel to get the right balance between scientific research and keeping the book readable and understandable by everyone. But I think he has pretty well achieved that.

The author has taken a statistical approach to analysing the impact of various factors on the probability of a match having three or more goals. These angles were then further refined into individual systems ranging from simple head-to-head analysis to “last two matches reverse + home team to win below 2.0”. In all, 17 different statistical systems were identified and investigated, and the floor for accepting selections was set at odds of 1.7.

In order to achieve a “pass” each system had to achieve a 60% strike rate combined with a return on investment (ROI) of over 10%. In the final analysis seven of the systems achieved these parameters, although a further five were also profitable to a lesser extent.

For each system the criteria is defined and then a step-by-step analysis of how to find the data to test the criteria is given using www.flashscore.com and www.scoccerstats.com. A statistical analysis of the results obtained is then presented and a final assessment of the approach given.

At this point I will throw in my only real criticism of the book. As a statistical research piece, the overall number of matches analysed in each system is low. In the top four performing systems there were only 290 selections in total – including initial test, back test and final test runs. Of these, 124 (42.7%) were applicable to the top performing system in terms of points profit. That is not to undervalue the work undertaken but it does raise the spectre of the results possibly being affected by statistical bias.

In fairness to the author, he does acknowledge that one of the systems was only assessed on 42 selections and “would recommend tracking the first 50 bets or so, to see if the positive results keep coming”.

So, although over 3,000 matches were considered to identify the qualifiers for each of the systems, it is the small sample sizes used to assess the success or otherwise of each system that slightly bothers me. That said, the book is not designed to come up with a definitive system for betting on the Over 2.5 Goals market but is an exploration of the various factors which can be considered when looking at it. The added value of the book is that along the way it also identifies angles and systems which are not suited to analysing this market.

Part three of the book attempts to bring together all of the pieces of the jigsaw into a workable approach to identifying matches with a high probability of going 3+ goals in the match. To do this, Mikkel uses the four top performing systems and combines them into a process to find the best selections each week as quickly as possible. I wont spoil the book for you by revealing the performance from this approach!

The amount of time needed to undertake this analysis will depend on the number of leagues you want to cover. The book uses nine for the final analysis. Mikkel suggests that once you learn the routine it will take 10-20 minutes to scan through any given league. That may well be so, but in the beginning, it took me almost an hour to analyse the nine English Premier League matches last weekend (24th/25th February) and about the same for this coming weekend’s fixtures (3rd/4th/5th March), although there are ten matches, so I must be getting quicker! I’m sure with familiarity that the process will speed up and an estimate of 20 minutes per league per week would be reasonable.

The eagle-eyed amongst you will have spotted that the review starts by talking about 18 systems, but we have only referred to 17 so far. That is because System 18 moves away from the purely statistical approach and introduces personal knowledge into the process. This approach is well described with some good examples used for explanation.

The book concludes with a brief look at how you can maximise your return from betting on the Over 2.5 Goals market and how the author personally bets on these markets. I’m not going to reveal the last page, don’t worry!

About the author:
Being a huge soccer fan since childhood and on top of that having a big love for numbers and odds, the author has spent 12 months analysing more than 3,000 football matches in order to give a detailed picture of the over 2.5 goal market. The author currently runs the site Lowkeysoccerbetting.com.

Summary

At just £9.99 this is a good value journey through the world of the Over 2.5 Goals market. If, like me, you like statistics then you will be happy with the approach taken and will probably undertake further research and analysis yourself, as I am going to do. Don’t worry if you’re not statistically-minded, the book is written to be understood by everyone and each section concludes with a clear summary of the main points.

Four out of five stars from me.

 

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Category: Betting Systems

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