Betting on Over 2.5 Goals:The Ultimate Guide (2nd Edition)

| March 29, 2019 | Reply

Product Name:

Betting on Over 2.5 Goals: The Ultimate Guide (2nd Edition)

Company Name & Contact Details:

Mikkel Larsen (author)


£9.99 (Available for just £5.00 until Sunday 1st April)

Money Back Guarantee:


What Do You Get?

E-Book for Kindle from Amazon or PDF version direct from

Where to Buy: or


Brief Summary:

This book undertakes a systematic analysis of the over 2.5 goals market from a variety of angles. Although ultimately, there is no one single system identified, it takes no less than 14 different systems through the testing phase. The final chapter looks at different options for employing the results from the analysis stage.

How Much Money Do I Need to Get Started?

£5.00 to purchase the guide. When applying the systems in the book you should set aside a betting bank as with any system or tipster followed. There is no set amount.

How Much Money Can I Make?

In the section titled “Expectations When Betting” the following quote is made – “A 5-10% increase of our bank in 2 – 3 months is what we should expect or be happy to achieve when talking football betting”.

How Much Time Will I Need to Make This Work?

I initially read the book in less than a couple of hours, but then went back to read it in more detail having got a good idea of what it was all about. Applying the systems will depend on how many systems you want to try, how many leagues you want to cover, your own personal speed when referring to multiple web sites and your comfort with recording and analysing data.

Will I Need Any Equipment to Do This?

Internet access and a mobile device or PC. Because of the amount of data that needs to be reviewed, and the different web sites that need to be accessed for most of the systems, this may prove more difficult on a phone and I would personally recommend a tablet or larger.

Value for Money?

I thoroughly enjoyed the read. Whilst the concepts are not ground breaking, the analysis of the different angles and the results they produced was interesting. If you want a definitive system for betting on the Over 2.5 Goals market, then this won’t be for you. However, if you are happy to try different approaches, and mix and match the different approaches to find the winning formula, then this is a good buy.

It is impossible to monitor the financial return from the systems themselves as the number of possible applications in terms of leagues, number of systems, combination of systems etc is huge and at the end of the day, a personal choice.

Quality of Customer Service?

All e-mail communication has been answered promptly, and the PDF download and access code worked without any issues.


The 2nd edition of the book is shorter than the first and runs to 94 pages, but is still packed with analysis, theories and test results. It was obviously difficult for Mikkel to get the right balance between scientific research and keeping the book readable and understandable by everyone. But I think he has pretty well achieved that.

The author has taken a statistical approach to analysing the impact of various factors on the probability of a match having three or more goals. These angles were then further refined into individual systems ranging from simple head-to-head analysis to “last two matches reverse + home team to win below 2.0”. In all, 14 different statistical systems identified and investigated in the first edition were brought forward to this 2nd edition. The floor for accepting selections was set at odds of 1.7.

For each system the criteria is defined and then a step-by-step analysis of how to find the data to test the criteria is given using and A statistical analysis of the results obtained is then presented and a final assessment of the approach given.

The author does acknowledge my only real criticism of the first edition of the book, that as a statistical research piece the overall number of matches analysed in each system was low. That is not to undervalue the work undertaken, but it does raise the spectre of the results possibly being affected by statistical bias.

So, although over 3,000 matches were considered to identify the qualifiers for each of the systems, it is the small sample sizes used to assess the success or otherwise of each system that slightly bothers me. That said, the book is not designed to come up with a definitive system for betting on the Over 2.5 Goals market but is an exploration of the various factors which can be considered when looking at it. The added value of the 2nd edition is that it takes the strategies from the first book and comments on their performance and suitability in the changing over 2.5 goals market. The key change in the market since the 1st edition is the lower odds that are generally now on offer. The author suggest that the types of matches which were previously generating odds of 1.72 to 1.8 are now only offering 1.5 to 1.63. This drop in odds seems to be particularly severe in matches involving top six teams, a stat that is crucial to some of the strategies listed.

The amount of time needed to undertake this analysis will depend on the number of leagues you want to cover. The book uses six key areas of statistical analysis and Mikkel suggests that once you learn the routine it will take 10-20 minutes to scan through any given league. That may well be so, but in the beginning (when using the 1st edition of the book), it took me almost an hour to analyse the nine English Premier League matches one weekend and about the same for the following weekend’s fixtures, although there were ten matches, so I was getting quicker! I did continue to play with the data for a few weeks after the initial review and you do speed up, and an estimate of 20 minutes per league per week is reasonable.

One of the key changes in the 2nd edition is the devotion of a whole chapter running to 31 pages on the “Key Stats and Numbers”. For me, this adds significant value to the book as it introduces much more material around the analysis of the key factors affecting the over 2.5 goals market, I found the section on “scoring and conceding ability” particularly interesting.

The book now concludes with a brief look at the different ways in which you can use the information gathered when researching the over 2.5 goals market to bet on other related markets.

About the author:
Being a huge soccer fan since childhood and on top of that having a big love for numbers and odds, the author spent 12 months analysing more than 3,000 football matches in order to give a detailed picture of the over 2.5 goal market. The author currently runs the site


At just £9.99 this is a good value journey through the world of the Over 2.5 Goals market. If, like me, you like statistics then you will be happy with the added material in the chapter on “Key Stats and Numbers”. Don’t worry if you’re not statistically-minded though, the book is written to be understood by everyone.




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Category: Betting Systems

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