All Weather Profits (Final Update)

| April 17, 2019 | Reply

ALL UPDATES IN BOLD

Product Name:

All Weather Profits

Company Name & Contact Details:

Tipster Street
www.tipsterstreet.com
E-mail contact via the “Contact Us” page on the web site

Price:

£14.95 per month or £29.95 per quarter.

There is a 30-day trial membership available for £3.79.

Money Back Guarantee:

None mentioned.

What Do You Get?

Daily (when meetings are on) tips from the all-weather cards at Lingfield, Southwell and Kempton, delivered by email. All tips are two-points to win at Betfair SP.

Where to Buy:

https://www.tipsterstreet.com/all-weather-profits

How Much Money Do I Need to Get Started?

The website recommends a starting bank of 250-points, although this has been raised recently from 150-points. On the evidence of results since February 2018*, 150-points is a more realistic level in my opinion.

How Much Money Can I Make?

The All Weather Profits page on the Tipster Street website shows 7.58 points profit per month on average.

How Much Time Will I Need to Make This Work?

As all selections are backed at flat stakes to Betfair SP it takes minutes to place the bets when the email is received. Because of the use of BFSP there is no pressure to react immediately to secure the advised prices either. The number of daily tips can vary from “No Bet” up to 10, depending on the number of meetings at the three courses covered.

Will I Need Any Equipment to Do This?

A PC, laptop, tablet or smartphone with internet access, and an account with Betfair.

Value for Money?

As always, I will defer until the end of the review period, but the monthly/quarterly costs are definitely at the lower end of the current market. Despite the fluctuations in the monthly performances we came out in the end with a net ROI (after the cost of the membership) of 2.72% at £10 per point stakes or 3.42% at £50 per point. At just £14.95 per month, or £29.95 per quarter, there appears to be some value in this service.

Quality of Customer Service?

Part of the Tipster Street stable of tipsters and benefits from the infrastructure that comes from that. My communication with the owner Neil has always been very professional and timely. When I have used the support link through the website – for other Tipster Street services not this one specifically – I have always received a prompt and helpful response.

Review

All Weather Profits has been a member of the Tipster Street stable of tipsters since January 2014. In the intervening five years the website claims an average monthly profit of 7.58 points, so no wild claims, just steady growth from a 22% strike rate.

As the name suggests, this service focuses on the all-weather racing, but is even more specific in as far as it only covers racing at Lingfield, Southwell and Kempton. My initial reaction when I heard the focus was only on three tracks was that he was focussing on a particular track surface to ensure transference of form was consistent. But as Southwell is the only all-weather track still running on fibresand, that link goes out of the window.

All selections are staked as flat two-point win singles at Betfair SP (BFSP). The advantage of BFSP to punters is that there is no requirement to react as soon as the selections are out to secure the advised prices. As long as the bet is placed prior to the race then you will get the BFSP return regardless. It also eradicates the variance caused by best odds guaranteed (BOG) and Rule 4 deductions.

The difficulty for the tipster is that securing long-term profitability at BFSP requires a particular degree of skill as the benefit of taking early value in a price is not an option open to them.

Selections are delivered by email between 09:00 and 11:00 on the morning of racing and the details on the email are simply the race time, venue and the selection.

There is an average of around 60 tips per month, although there is more action during the core all-weather season between October and the All-Weather Championship Finals Day at Lingfield in April.

Results – Month 1 (15th January to 14th February 2019)

The review period got off to a busy start with six meetings at Lingfield and Kempton across the first five days. But that busy period also proved to be especially lucrative as first Shyron won at a BFSP of 20.17 at Lingfield and then later the same day Dalileo won at Kempton at 14.69. With four other winners in those first five days we were sitting on a cumulative profit of 46.41 points.

A further 15 winners followed before the end of the first month of the review and left us with an overall profit of 56.06 points. This is obviously significantly above an average month’s profit for this service but is indicative of some good recent form for this tipster*.

The strike rate for the month was 25.61%, slightly higher than the historic average of 22%. This came from a total of 82 selections.

The average BFSP of all selections was 7.3 and for the winning selections 5.46. The range of winners was from 1.57 to the 20.17 for Shyron.

The Return on Investment (ROI) for the period was a very healthy 32.22%, whilst the ROC (Return on Capital) was 37.37% (based on a 150-point starting bank).

Results – Month 2 (15th February to 14th March 2019)

Well I certainly didn’t see that coming, by far All Weather Profit’s worst performance in over a year*. The loss for the month of 67.73 points not only wiped out the excellent performance in Month 1, but also left us with a cumulative deficit of 11.67 points.

Not only did the strike rate for the month fall below 20%, the average odds of the winners was also a full two-points lower than last month at 3.4 (just under 5/2).

The only purple patch in the month came across 6th and 7th March with nine winners from 14 selections, half the total winners for the period. However, that also meant there were some significant losing sequences of 11, 12 and 18. The run of 18 following immediately after the mini recovery of 6th/7th March. In fact there were just two winners in the 32 selections that followed from the small revival, a run which saw 50-points wiped off the profit.

Results – Month 3 (15th March to 14th April 2019)

After the shock of last month’s performance it was back to profitability this time around, with 30.47 points profit secured and a cumulative profit for the three month’s of the review of 18.8 points.

Although the strike rate this month was lower still at 17.33%, it came from 18 less selections than the previous period, and the average BFSP of the winning selections was also significantly higher at 7.25 (between 6/1 and 13/2). The reason for the substantial increase in the average BFSP was the success of Lunar Deity at Lingfield at a Betfair SP of 55.0.

Whilst we did endure a 15 bet losing streak in the month, the general profile was less volatile than the previous month, with many shorter losing runs and the winning selections spread more evenly throughout the period.

The month ended with an ROI (Return on Investment) of 19.28%, and after three-months the overall ROI was 3.6%. This nets down, after the cost of the subscription, to 2.72% at £10 per point stakes or 3.42% at £50 per point stakes.

Summary at End of Month 1

Two big-priced winners helped the month to an above average performance. But notwithstanding this, the strike rate was higher than average and had the two big winners been closer to the average of the other winning selections in the month the profit would still have outstripped the seven-point historic mean.

Summary at End of Month 2

We couldn’t have had a more contrasting month to the first one if we’d tried. Poor months do happen, but this was unexpected in its severity and we wait to see if Month 3 brings a recovery back into profit.

Summary at End of Month 3

While it could be argued that the profit in the final month of the review was built purely on Lunar Deity’s success at 55.0 BFSP, these longer priced selections are part and parcel of the service. There were actually two selections that finished with higher BFSP’s and a total of 11 selections in the final month alone that had BFSP’s of 20.0 or higher. All in all, a service that can produce long-term profits* at BFSP has an edge that works.

 

A full breakdown of the results for the review can be found here.

 

* – Figures quoted from outside the review period are provided by our partner service tipstars.tips.

 

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