The Syndicate

Selections 2017/18

| May 12, 2017 | 88 Replies

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Category : SYD Summer Selections

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  1. David James says:

    Hi Miles. I didn’t know about Evening Attire’s blood vessel until I read your post, I had a Lucky 15 with your selections so that’s cheered me right up! Its the latest in a succession of unlucky multiples for me but what can you do. Anyway its been a good start and if you are taking things conservatively I can’t wait for things to kick in properly!

  2. David James says:

    Just to confirm as well Miles, 1.5 total stake on Muntadab…?

  3. David James says:

    Thanks for that. Only checking as you don’t normally stake that!

  4. Laurence Pocock says:

    Hi Miles,

    When you say 0.625 points each way do you mean 1.25 points in total?

  5. Miles Tredwell says:

    yes, that’s correct, 1.25 in total

  6. Derek Shears says:

    Hi Miles,

    Yesterday I was told that my Syndicate access would be restored in 24-48 hours.

    Nothing has happened as of yet so I still cannot access the selections.

    Maybe I will be lucky on Wednesday.

    Best Regards,

    DEREK

  7. Derek Shears says:

    Hi Miles,

    Many thanks for your help. Much appreciated.

    My access to the Syndicate is now resumed.

    DEREK

  8. Miles Tredwell says:

    Great, pleased to hear it. Thanks for letting me know.

  9. Ian Waddilove says:

    Been grafting away all day, and having just logged onto my bookies account found a lovely surprise. Or rather not a surprise, as your expertise picked the right ones today, mostly, lol. Plus I got a 1.5 point price boost too. Happy days.

    • Miles Tredwell says:

      Cheers Ian. We’ve been a bit light of winners in the last week, despite a fair bit of knocking on the door, so good to get a couple in today.

  10. David James says:

    Good stuff, well done Miles, I had my usual multiple on as well so nice return on that also…

  11. Miles Tredwell says:

    There’s a problem with the text messenger this morning. Selections will be posted at 11.15am.

  12. David James says:

    Very nice 16/1 winner today, well done Miles!

  13. Frank Mclaughlin says:

    How did i miss this 16/1 winner?

  14. Frank Mclaughlin says:

    Am I missing something ? The winner i backed was 8/1 ?

  15. Philip Cuthbert says:

    Any one else getting emails like this…

    We’re writing to you with regards to your Betfair Sportsbook account.

    Having reviewed your account, we are notifying you that your account will not be eligible for Betfair Sportsbook promotions, including Best Odds Guaranteed, in future.

    We can assure you that this decision has only be taken after careful consideration and that it does not affect your ability to play on the Betfair Exchange and Betfair Gaming channels.

    Kind Regards,
    Betfair Customer Services

    Had the same from PaddyPower a few days ago, also from another bookie a while back.
    Find it strange that they can advertise BOG, then deny it on some accounts, but then as we know, they are a law unto themselves.

  16. David James says:

    Had this message from Bet’fair’ years ago and they limited my account to literally 5p bets, pathetic. PaddyPower never accept my full stake and had taken best odds off me recently so I hardly ever use them now. pretty much the only bookies that haven’t taken best odds off me and limited my bets are Bet365 and William Hill, if they do I am pretty much screwed! I absolutely hate them…

  17. Robert Bille says:

    I had a similar problem with Sporting Bet. I think they limited my bet to £1.00 each way… I sent them an email telling them not to insult me and to close my account with immediate effect!!

  18. Robert Bille says:

    Morning Miles, a bit of a mix bag again yesterday. I hope you don’t mind me saying but we seem to be going 3 steps forward and 1 or 2 steps back. Thankfully we are still in the black!! I’m just holding fire on upping my stakes until the season settles down (as you say, confidence will increase once we have had a few runs under our belt). I couldn’t ignore Believe It yesterday after it did so well for us earlier… Odds were no where near as good but the winnings covered yesterday’s losers!!

    Regards

    Rob

    • Miles Tredwell says:

      Hi Rob,
      Yeah, I wouldn’t disagree. There have been hints that we’re about to enter a strong spell, each time followed by a disappointing day or two. Typical early season stuff really, though it’s around the time when I’d hope to kick on a gear particularly if the weather can be a bit more settled.
      Well done on Believe It. Almost a carbon copy of last week- I had a sinking feeling when he got the lead without trouble. Reminded me of deserting Menelik in the winter when he won again too.

  19. Andy Conniff says:

    Just a quick reminder to everyone – several selections have extra places on offer with various bookmakers – and not all at rubbish prices – check on Oddschecker.

  20. Robert Bille says:

    Afternoon Miles, Given how hot it’s been this week and that we’re in the middle of summer it’ll probably sound strange that I’ve been looking forward to Winter all week!! Is she as good as the odds suggest?

    Rob

    • Miles Tredwell says:

      Hi Rob. Certainly on the short side! Then again, which of the other 6 is going to beat her? Presieuse might have a squeak if quick ground is a positive but if not (which may well be the case) then should only go one way. One to enjoy rather than be with involved with, i reckon.

  21. Frank Mclaughlin says:

    Hi Mills,
    I think I’ve lost the plot, I can’t see how you’re making a profit, cause im we’ll down, thinking of throwing in the towel,
    I think you’re giving to many tips
    Regards Frank

    • Hi Frank,

      I would suggest that you look back through the results pages and pay particular attention to this time last year. Anybody packing up and going home back then lost out on a hell of a lot of profit.

      Regards,
      Matt

      • Miles Tredwell says:

        I’d add that you literally can see where any profit (or indeed loss) has come from because the results page details every single selection, the price recorded, any deductions and any returns made. (I really have no idea what more I can do in that respect?)

        Maybe it would help to check those results against your own returns? Have you been sticking to the advised bets and stakes? (I ask because in a previous comment you talked about a very ambitious multiple you’d placed that wasn’t advised.) Making the bets as close to time of posting will help, as will checking oddschecker to make sure you’re getting the best prices if making bets later.

        This season (from start of May) is only showing a small profit now, following a loss the last two weeks, to advised prices, but as Matt pointed out and I also highlighted in today’s post, that may be underpar but not out of keeping with previous years.

        • Frank Mclaughlin says:

          Hi mills
          Its my own fault broke the rules should have stayed away from Ascot,even with your bad run you did better than the racing Post. Noticed you only give one tip for Ascot,?
          Kind regards
          Frank

    • Frank Mclaughlin says:

      Stupid jockey deprived born to finish of a good place maybe even a win,

      • Miles Tredwell says:

        Yeah, he could have done more to get out of trouble and certainly left full of running and will be noted where he goes next. (I’m hoping Leicester.)

  22. Michael Hutchison says:

    Hi Miles, no need to apologise. I’ve been part of this for over a year now and last year around this time the service was going through a bad spell and I decided to ignore one of your tips on the champion jockey…….50/1 winner as it turned out. Even without that, it turned into a cracking year somewhat let down by Matts jumps tips. So I’ve no doubt that you’ll turn the corner into profitable tips very soon and I look forward to the next few months!

    • Miles Tredwell says:

      Thanks Michael- appreciated. Overall I think we’ve deserved a bit more to show for the season so far, but even though not that much was staked on Saturday I felt the need to hold my hands up on an unusually poor collection. A Sunday of sulking has passed and now back fighting and hope we can now crack on…

  23. Derek Shears says:

    Hi Miles,

    The message on Syndicate is that I am not registered for this service.

    Same as April.

    DEREK SHEARS

  24. Kieran Hagan says:

    Miles,

    As a new member, having made 16 bets and only won 1, it has not been the start I was hoping for! Hopefully your comments yesterday re previous years seeing an upturn during the next couple of months comes true.

    Can I ask a question. In the last few days, there does not seem to be specific odds whereby you play E/W as opposed to win. So, for example tomorrow, there are several bets from 4 to 8/1 stated as E/W but even today, you had a 5/1 for a win only and yesterday an 8 or 9/1 win only bet. Do you have a cut off point or is it a confidence thing (either in yourself or the actual bet) ?

    Kieran

    • Miles Tredwell says:

      Hi Kieran.
      Welcome along. I think it would probably be useful for you as a new member to have a little look through the results pages to get a feel for the ups and downs. There are plenty of both but I think this is a very stable service, the downs are not severe and in the long-term the ups massively exceed them.
      http://www.bettingrant.co.uk/results-201617-weather-31061
      http://www.bettingrant.co.uk/results-2015-26931

      Regarding win or each-way, the number of runners often dictates this for me. If there are 7 runners thus only 2 places (or 8 runners the night before which may well become 7) then having half the stake to place is rarely a good deal.

      Also another consideration could be that if it’s a race with a few no-hopers then going e/w can be the best option even at a short price because if you remove the no-hopers from the equation then you can be looking at a return if in the first three from really a small number of contenders.

      Similarly if there’s one big threat then e/w might be preferable.

      Basically I try to look at whether the place part of an each-way bet- which after all is half of the stake- is giving good or bad value in a similar way to weighing up the win price rather than simply going e/w above a certain price.

      • Kieran Hagan says:

        Miles,

        Thank you. That is a perfectly reasonable reply!

        As someone who tends to back mainly win only, I shall follow with interest, backing to your ‘instructions’ whilst I get a feel for the service.

        A couple of winners today at least makes the strike rate and ROI a little more healthy, though a win only on the first selection would have been even better!

        Kieran

  25. Duncan Campbell says:

    Which horses are covered by the win Traxie tomorrow?

  26. Kieran Hagan says:

    Miles,

    A profit on the last couple of days but it feels like it should have been so much more. In the main, the selections have been running very well and my feeling is that we deserve so much more!

    Here’s hoping we get our just rewards soon!

    Kieran

  27. Miles Tredwell says:

    Cheers Kieran. Thinking much the same here. Pleased with the overall consistency of the runs lately and as long as that continues we should kick on soon enough. Could be a bit of a hit or miss day tomorrow at the prices, but be nice if we can get a couple…

  28. Kieran Hagan says:

    more hit than miss and I think it is fair to say and it was indeed nice to get a couple! Good stuff again, seems you are hitting a rich vein of form. Long may it continue!

  29. Miles Tredwell says:

    Thanks Kieran, let’s hope to add to those this week, although it looks like being a typically quiet start to the week

  30. Robert Bille says:

    Afternoon Miles, unfortunately the Trixie went down early which has left a small profit should the next 2 selections come in. I fancy a win flutter on at least one of the 2 left to run. Can you advise which one you think has the best chance?

    By the way… Just missed out on some juicy doubles last week (a couple of each ways at nearly 30-1) using your selections; in both cases we were done close to home but both bets still paid out roughly 2-1 with the each way. Horses started to come good now!!!

    Regards

    Rob

    • Miles Tredwell says:

      Good to hear Rob. Yeah annoying not to take the Trixie into the evening- a bit keen and then slow to be angled out, but hey, ho. Of the other two… probably, marginally, just about the wolverhampton one. (Odds seem settled, could always see how the 1st goes to see whether the double in the trixie is still alive?)

  31. Kieran Hagan says:

    Miles,

    A few of the horses you have put up recently, you have mentioned the weight for age allowance. In your view, at what point of the season does that become significant ? Also, would you apply it to all races ? I read somewhere that it has less impact over sprint trips ?

    Kieran

    • Miles Tredwell says:

      Hi Kieran,

      Cheers for the question. Early in the year, 3 year-olds largely race only against other 3 year-olds, then from Spring the schedule includes an increasing number of mixed age races. In May last year, there were only 52 handicaps run for 3 years AND older horses racing against each other, this increased to 227 in June and then 409 in July, so it’s something that needs paying attention to from June onwards, really.

      The amount of the allowance given to 3 year-olds in mixed age races depends upon both time of year and distance run. They’re given more of an allowance earlier in the year and this decreases as the year goes on as they are seen to need less of a helping hand as they develop more. They’re also given more of an allowance the further they run, hence it having less impact over sprints.

      At the moment, for example, a 3 year-old running against older horses will receive an allowance of 4 lbs for a 5 furlong sprint and 15 lbs if running 2 miles. By the time of October, there will be no allowance for a 3 year-old running 5 furlongs and 9 lbs if running 2 miles.

      It’s something that needs keeping an eye on individually. Say there are two 3 year-olds in a race against otherwise older horses they both get the allowance but if this is the first time one of the horses takes on older horses then that allowance needs to be factored in. If the other has been running against older horses for a few races then this allowance isn’t new to the horse. This is a key difference.

      In summary, I’d say the time to look out for it is over the main summer months and for 3 year-olds taking on older horses for the first time or in their first few runs when the allowance in effect makes them well handicapped, particularly over longer distances.

  32. Kieran Hagan says:

    Excellent. Thanks!

  33. Kieran Hagan says:

    Price on Toni’s A Star going fast. 11/1 best available now (7:20pm) and only 9/1 in places.

    • Was a bit of a weird one. I checked Oddschecker not long after 7 and all of the bookies that were 16 on Oddschecker were a lot lower in reality.

      It’s been discussed elsewhere on the site but that really is something Oddschecker need to sort out.

      • Miles Tredwell says:

        There was a non-runner around the time last night (2nd fave, taking a chunk of the price away). According to Betfair this was at 18:39, but according to Oddschecker it was at 19:20 (shown by checking the odds tracking last night which can be done by clicking the horse’s name on the race/odds chart). When repriced, the best price (according to oddschecker) was 11/1. I’m guessing oddschecker was running behind from this? Unfortunately I was also running a bit behind last night and didn’t place mine until a little later, so can’t shed any further light.Can anyone else confirm the prices they found (and if there’s a return what deduction has been made)? Thanks in advance. (looking like 12 (11/1) will be recorded.)

        • Malcolm Mcmaster says:

          Hey Miles,

          Best I found was 11/1. I totally missed the price on surround sound so left it alone. Not too purturbed as it was never put into the race.

          Ps….I noticed on betfair that Palmerston was 11/1 at some stage Managed to get 11/2✅

          Malc

  34. Kieran Hagan says:

    A cracking tip, whatever went on with the price. I got on at 11/1, which was the best available at 7:20, as I said previously. Got paid at 11/1 with a 10p rule 4 deduction.

    After the very bad luck in the first race and a 2nd in the 3rd, I was wondering if it was going to be our day. However, this one makes it a profitable day, whatever happens in the last.

    Still such a shame about Picks Pinta, but it was definitely a good tip and would surely have won if not being hampered at the start and forced to change direction mid race ?

    • Miles Tredwell says:

      Yes, thought the same re Picks Pinta- one that got away, a shame at an increased stake. Well backed too so unlikely to get that sort of early price next time, but here’s hoping. Christmas came early for the winner on the rail.

  35. Kieran Hagan says:

    Matt,

    I asked Miles to add me to the text phone list whilst you were away. He said he was not able to do that but you probably could when you were back from holiday.

    Do you have my details to add ? It saves me checking all the time for the additional bets if Miles makes any.

    Kieran

  36. Robert Torr says:

    Hi Matt,
    Was that text wrong? I’ve put the bet on Henryville as advised (Unibet now 17.0 btw) but you say reasoning on website but I can’t see it?
    Cheers,
    Rob.

  37. Kieran Hagan says:

    Don’t you just love BOG. Fast and Hot backed at 5/1, won at 10/1. Won easily too. That said. BSP was 17!

    Another great call Miles.

    • Malcolm Mcmaster says:

      I know people who go to the races and still trawl round the pitches,while I’m upstairs enjoying a drink with a much bigger price BOG. I’ve told em,but they just don’t listen.

      That’s throwing money away.

      Just a shame that the first pick got touched off.

      Been with the service a few weeks. Very pleased so far!

      • Miles Tredwell says:

        Cheers Guys. It was a strange drift and seemed to happen very late. Watched the race but not the build-up. Was he playing up beforehand?

  38. Kieran Hagan says:

    I don’t recall now, which makes me think he wasn’t, though I probably wasn’t concentrating too much as I would have been working on the following days bets!

  39. Frank Kendrick says:

    27th July
    Fast & Hot and Dragons Voice
    £5 double
    Top man Tredders
    Regards Frank

  40. Kieran Hagan says:

    Top call again. Very consistent and excellent write ups which are on more often than not very close to the mark!

    • Miles Tredwell says:

      Cheers Kieran. For a nasty moment or two thought Mayleaf Shine- who misbehaved and ran poorly for us at Chester the other Saturday- was going to come through. Just read that Rural Celebration has been retired after that. A good way to bow out.

  41. Kieran Hagan says:

    Well, talk about back down to earth with a bump! A real shocker today.

    • Miles Tredwell says:

      Yeah a disappointing set and down 5.25 on the day. That said, one selection apart, they were all double-figure prices so it was a day likely to draw a blank. Would have wished for better runs for our money though.

  42. Derek Faulkner says:

    Hi miles i started with 100 pounds i haven’t won that much and its got pay for its self if it dont theres only two winners you and the book maker like to day you never had one winner any thing over 5. i bet each way and they lost so do you think its a good start for you

  43. Laurence Pocock says:

    Can I Just ask for someone to send me a password re-set as I just can’t log on through my mobile

    • Miles Tredwell says:

      Hi Laurence. I don’t have access to that side of things- the best thing to do would be to call customer services- but if you email me I can send you selections when they’re ready in the meanwhile.

  44. Kieran Hagan says:

    If you are on holiday Miles, have a good one! Kieran

  45. Mike Cox says:

    Whilst the data/info/ & chatter are interesting is it possible to have the suggested offerings for races each day made more prominent in the text layout. A mobile phone message and also knowing to go direct to this web site for the essential info is OK the immediate info about – in this case 9 Aug – is deep filed. ie. page 2 under and a scroll down before the selections are revealed. Not an difficult task I know but slightly tedious if you just want to get on with the bets for the day. Only saying – but thanks anyway.

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Summer Selections