Back A Player Full Of Eastern Promise

| March 25, 2011 | 3 Replies

As one sporting season starts another draws to a close and such is the case for snooker, which is now entering its home straight.

All roads lead to Sheffield and the Crucible but first up is a stop off in the Far East for next week’s China Open.

Now, in geographical terms this is a fairly lengthy detour and unsurprisingly, it’s not everybody’s cup of tea.

For the novice that makes it a tricky betting proposition but for us seasoned pros, it’s actually something that we can take advantage of…

I’ll be hoping to do just that this year, with a bet on Mark Selby at 9/1 with Paddy Power or BETFRED.

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Momentum Momentum Momentum

Momentum is absolutely crucial in sport and so it drives me insane when people sacrifice theirs…

A perfect example is that of Aston Villa and Gerard Houllier…

After a shaky start to his time in charge, Houllier’s Villa had started to put a bit of a run together, with just one defeat in nine during January and February.

Then along came Man City in the FA Cup…

Houllier essentially ‘throws’ the match by fielding a severely weakened side (Emile Heskey led the line!) and Villa lose 3-0.

Since then they’ve also lost their next two (against Bolton and Wolves) and now find themselves right in the thick of a relegation battle.

So what’s this got to do with Mark Selby?

Well, after a tricky start to the season, Selby has strung together a decent run of late…

He reached the semi-finals of the PTC Grand Finals (beating world number two Mark Williams en route)…

He made it to the quarters of the Welsh Open, only to go down in a final frame decider…

And he made the final of the German Masters, losing narrowly to Mark Williams 9-7.

Having built up a head of steam, Selby will be loathe to throw that away on the eve of the World Championships and he should go well again in China.

Dirty draws and fatal flaws

In any tournament the draw plays a huge part and no more so than here.

With a number of players not too keen on the prospect of a trip to China in the first place a tough draw should be enough to get them on an early flight home…

While for Selby, his soft draw could be the perfect catalyst for a tilt at the title.

In fact, Mark shouldn’t really be troubled until the quarter- final stage and even then he would be expected to get the better of his opponent (likely to be either Ali Carter or Mark Allen).

Elsewhere and the big name players have it tough.

Mark Williams and Ding Junhui are set to meet in the quarters…

John Higgins could play PTC winner Shaun Murphy in the quarters and current World champion Neil Robertson in the semis…

And Ronnie O’Sullivan is barely worth a mention anymore (yet is still 2nd favourite with some bookies!!)

Selby has previous in the Far East having reached the semis at this season’s Shanghai Masters and the final of the 2008 Jiangsu Classic and I can see him making a big impact again.

A semi-final berth will be enough to give us good trading options and that’s the least he should be aiming for.

Back Mark Selby to win snooker’s China Open at 9/1 with Paddy Power or BETFRED.

Today’s Trivia

Q. Ronnie O’Sullivan has now slipped to number 10 in the world but how many days has it been since he last won a ranking event?

A. The Rocket’s last ranking triumph came a whopping 558 days ago when he beat Liang Wenbo 10-5 in the final of the 2009 Shaghai Open. He has been the bookies favourite for virtually every tournament since.

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Comments (3)

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  1. Matt Houghton Matt Houghton says:

    UPDATE

    Just a quick note to say that Mark Selby is now through to the semi final and is a 2/1 joint favourite.

    I won’t make this official as I don’t have time to put an email out but those of you that backed Selby may now want to lay him for a guaranteed profit or to back one of his rivals.

    Personally, I will be having a little on Ding Jun Hui at 2/1.

  2. Wayne says:

    Hi Matt

    Another fantastic snooker shout.

    I kept with Selby all the way each way and made a tidy profit but even though he’s a star of the future I didnt think Trump would win this but maybe he’s one we’ll have to look out for in the future each way

    Wayne

  3. Matt Houghton Matt Houghton says:

    Hi Wayne,

    Yes, it wasn’t bad and I made some cash out of it (as I hope most people did) but I must admit I’m a little annoyed by Trump.

    It’s not that he didn’t deserve it but simply that he has flattered to decieve for so long now and there was little to suggest that he was going to win this one.

    Fair play to him though and bring on the World Champs!

    Matt

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